A Perspective on the Pandemic

In the past 6 weeks, the bloggers I know have kept up their normal postings of tranquil and beautiful scenes, with only an occasional nod to “the elephant in the room”, the COVID19 viral pandemic sweeping the world. I find myself very attentive to news and numbers in the USA, as we live in one of the current “hot spots” of infection, Long Island, New York.

New York City has had  more infections per capita than anywhere in the USA, and more hospitalizations and more deaths. Mercifully all the numbers now suggest the city has reached a plateau in mid-April 2020. Across the country there are great disparities in the the infection rates in different regions. So it is possible, if you live in an area with low numbers – as many of my friends do – to imagine you will not see many more.

Buy I want to offer you a more dire perspective from an area that has been hard hit. On March 21, Long Island had about 2500 confirmed cases of COVID19 infection, and about 20 deaths. But the numbers were doubling every 2-3 days, meaning we were on the sharply rising part of the now familiar curve that needed to be “flattened.” Simple math predicted that at this rate of doubling, the number of cases would explode in a month. Now in mid-April we have 53,000 cases and over 1,750 deaths!

This is just to say please be very careful to observe the social distancing rules, even if your current numbers are small. They can grow very rapidly! Don’t let warm Spring weather tempt you to enter crowded places!

5 comments on “A Perspective on the Pandemic

  1. So very sorry to read how Covid-19 has hit your area. Terrible! Actually, on my blog, I have been writing quite a bit about the coronavirus, right down to posting the numbers for my state as well as for the world. Every blogger will face the pandemic in his or her own way, but I feel it is my duty to look directly at the pandemic and report from my little corner in Maine. When this is over, I will have a record of what happened and how we reacted. But again, all writers must decide how they will write about this. Best to you and yours! Stay safe, be well.

    Liked by 1 person

  2. Eliza Waters says:

    Wise words, Peter. The statistics, particularly out of NY, are mighty sobering. Human complacency is almost as dangerous as the virus. So we will heed your advice not to let our guard down. Peace to you.

    Liked by 2 people

  3. From my perspective, you are so right. I’m watching the protesters and think to myself, they may not really understand what they are wanting. One of the big issues here in NH is to open or not to open campgrounds. Hmm, I’m on the side of not opening so we aren’t drawing visitors from a lot of other areas including MA with such a higher rate than we currently have. Campers can promise to stay on their site, but they still need gasoline, groceries, supplies, etc. which means they will be traveling in a much larger swath. Hope you and all of your loved ones are well. We are doing fine even though feeling quite cooped up as we start Day 35.

    Liked by 1 person

  4. cindy knoke says:

    And still it goes on….

    Like

    • pastpeter says:

      We will be as slow (almost) as the city to reopen; tho thankfully our numbers are all down. Ten weeks quarantine to date. Another month, I suspect, before we can see family and friends again. I don’t want the Brooklynites taking public transport to get here. Ridership is about 5% of normal. They will eventually figure out how to disinfect every train and subway car every night..!!

      Like

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